Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fulham beat Leeds United with a 14.3% chance, Blackburn Rovers beat Middlesbrough with a 23.1% chance, and Everton beat Southampton with a 21.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 13 (before the first match) against those on April 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Champions League | 85.1% | 99.5% | +14.4 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 14.9% | 0.5% | −14.4 |
| Ipswich Town | Relegation | 82.4% | 92.0% | +9.5 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 90.2% | 99.5% | +9.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 9.8% | 0.5% | −9.3 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 7.1% | 0.4% | −6.7 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 94.9% | 100% | +5.1 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 5.1% | 0% | −5.1 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 19.7% | 15.7% | −4.0 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 9.3% | 13.3% | +3.9 |
