Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Liverpool beat Manchester United with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 21 (before the first match) against those on April 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | Europa League | 21.8% | 97.5% | +75.8 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 72.8% | 2.1% | −70.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 47.8% | >99.9% | +52.1 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 26.5% | 73.4% | +46.9 |
| Ipswich Town | Relegation | 12.2% | 54.8% | +42.6 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 40.8% | 83.1% | +42.3 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 38.5% | 0.1% | −38.4 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 40.2% | 10.5% | −29.7 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 28.9% | <0.1% | −28.9 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 22.2% | <0.1% | −22.1 |
