Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Middlesbrough beat Sunderland with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 23 (before the first match) against those on January 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | Champions League | 69.5% | 51.8% | −17.8 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 24.8% | 40.4% | +15.6 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 27.3% | 14.3% | −13.0 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 62.5% | 73.9% | +11.4 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 28.4% | 38.1% | +9.7 |
| Leeds United | Champion | 15.2% | 5.9% | −9.3 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 29.5% | 23.1% | −6.4 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 42.8% | 48.9% | +6.1 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 9.3% | 3.7% | −5.6 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 21.9% | 16.5% | −5.4 |
