Round 4

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 16 (before the first match) against those on August 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
EvertonRelegation28.8%16.3%−12.5
WatfordRelegation52.9%40.8%−12.1
ArsenalChampions League42.5%30.7%−11.8
Coventry CityRelegation30.0%18.7%−11.3
SouthamptonRelegation18.3%28.7%+10.4
Manchester UnitedChampions League58.4%67.0%+8.5
Aston VillaChampions League34.0%25.9%−8.0
Manchester UnitedChampion25.5%33.3%+7.7
Sheffield WednesdayRelegation22.6%30.1%+7.5
ArsenalChampion15.8%8.5%−7.2
Home 50.1%
Draw 26.3%
Away 23.6%
Home 35.1%
Draw 31.6%
Away 33.3%
Home 45.3%
Draw 27.9%
Away 26.8%
Home 69.4%
Draw 20.2%
Away 10.4%
Home 46.0%
Draw 27.6%
Away 26.3%
Home 42.9%
Draw 28.8%
Away 28.4%
Home 35.8%
Draw 31.3%
Away 32.9%
Home 36.2%
Draw 31.2%
Away 32.6%
Home 55.1%
Draw 24.6%
Away 20.3%
Home 43.3%
Draw 28.6%
Away 28.1%