Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Watford beat Liverpool with a 5.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 11 (before the first match) against those on August 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 44.6% | 58.4% | +13.9 |
| Watford | Relegation | 66.6% | 52.9% | −13.7 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 25.0% | 37.1% | +12.1 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 30.1% | 18.3% | −11.8 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 16.2% | 25.5% | +9.3 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 32.5% | 23.2% | −9.3 |
| Middlesbrough | Champions League | 8.1% | 16.6% | +8.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 22.7% | 14.6% | −8.1 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 4.4% | 10.9% | +6.4 |
| Middlesbrough | Europa League | 10.3% | 16.2% | +5.9 |
