Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Liverpool beat Leeds United with a 21.4% chance, Leicester City beat Middlesbrough with a 20.5% chance, and Sunderland beat Newcastle with a 23.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 22 (before the first match) against those on March 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Wednesday | Relegation | 30.1% | 96.8% | +66.8 |
| Watford | Relegation | 40.8% | 99.8% | +59.1 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 26.2% | 78.3% | +52.1 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 33.3% | 79.4% | +46.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 9.7% | 50.2% | +40.5 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 38.4% | 0.5% | −37.9 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 34.7% | <0.1% | −34.7 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 34.1% | 0.8% | −33.3 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 20.8% | 53.0% | +32.2 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 67.0% | 98.5% | +31.6 |
