Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sheffield Wednesday beat Tottenham with a 13.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 16 (before the first match) against those on January 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | Champions League | 72.0% | 84.1% | +12.1 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 8.3% | 18.6% | +10.3 |
| Leeds United | Champion | 15.4% | 25.3% | +9.9 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 69.8% | 61.9% | −7.9 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 20.6% | 13.1% | −7.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 32.1% | 25.8% | −6.3 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 23.9% | 18.1% | −5.8 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 30.3% | 35.9% | +5.5 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 29.2% | 23.8% | −5.5 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Relegation | 85.7% | 80.3% | −5.5 |
