Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bradford City beat Arsenal with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 2 (before the first match) against those on February 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 72.9% | 60.3% | −12.6 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 25.3% | 37.9% | +12.5 |
| Bradford City | Relegation | 65.3% | 53.1% | −12.2 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 72.2% | 83.0% | +10.8 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 22.3% | 31.2% | +8.9 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 36.0% | 44.0% | +8.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 8.6% | 16.7% | +8.0 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 14.1% | 21.7% | +7.7 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 17.5% | 9.9% | −7.6 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 18.8% | 11.6% | −7.2 |
