Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Derby County beat Middlesbrough with a 20.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 12 (before the first match) against those on February 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 27.5% | 56.1% | +28.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 60.8% | 40.7% | −20.1 |
| Sunderland | Europa League | 29.0% | 10.4% | −18.5 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 29.9% | 47.3% | +17.4 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 26.2% | 43.5% | +17.3 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 21.5% | 5.3% | −16.2 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 22.5% | 6.4% | −16.1 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 71.3% | 85.8% | +14.5 |
| Sunderland | Champions League | 15.2% | 1.4% | −13.9 |
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 6.3% | 14.2% | +7.9 |
