Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Leeds United with a 19.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 29 (before the first match) against those on January 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford City | Relegation | 46.0% | 66.4% | +20.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 58.7% | 73.3% | +14.6 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 29.1% | 15.4% | −13.7 |
| Sunderland | Champions League | 16.6% | 4.5% | −12.1 |
| Watford | Relegation | 85.8% | 97.7% | +11.9 |
| Sunderland | Europa League | 33.1% | 23.4% | −9.7 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 27.3% | 36.6% | +9.3 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 38.5% | 47.1% | +8.5 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Relegation | 89.0% | 80.6% | −8.4 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 10.5% | 18.6% | +8.1 |
