Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Leicester City with a 19.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 26 (before the first match) against those on February 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 24.8% | 53.8% | +29.0 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 23.0% | 48.5% | +25.5 |
| Sunderland | Europa League | 31.2% | 11.3% | −19.9 |
| Sunderland | Champions League | 19.5% | 1.5% | −18.0 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 23.2% | 6.0% | −17.1 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 20.7% | 5.1% | −15.6 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 30.9% | 44.4% | +13.5 |
| Bradford City | Relegation | 45.7% | 57.3% | +11.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 49.6% | 38.4% | −11.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 9.5% | 20.6% | +11.1 |
