Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Nottingham with a 20.5% chance, Middlesbrough beat Leicester City with a 10.6% chance, and Wimbledon beat West Ham with a 18.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 30 (before the first match) against those on September 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | Relegation | 49.6% | 31.1% | −18.5 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 51.7% | 36.9% | −14.8 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 26.5% | 37.7% | +11.3 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 34.0% | 45.3% | +11.3 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 34.3% | 44.8% | +10.5 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 21.9% | 32.1% | +10.2 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 30.6% | 21.5% | −9.0 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 25.4% | 34.1% | +8.7 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 19.6% | 11.3% | −8.3 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champions League | 18.0% | 10.8% | −7.2 |
