Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Middlesbrough beat Tottenham with a 19.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 9 (before the first match) against those on September 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 36.9% | 18.8% | −18.1 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Relegation | 26.3% | 13.1% | −13.2 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 45.3% | 57.3% | +12.0 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 27.7% | 15.8% | −11.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 61.7% | 49.9% | −11.9 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 21.5% | 32.7% | +11.1 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 36.3% | 46.9% | +10.6 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 29.5% | 19.6% | −9.9 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 44.8% | 52.9% | +8.1 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 13.0% | 20.3% | +7.2 |
