Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 5 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Nottingham beat Southampton with a 20.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 24 (before the first match) against those on December 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 54.4% | 1.1% | −53.4 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 26.9% | 78.4% | +51.5 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 32.0% | 83.2% | +51.2 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 18.5% | 55.5% | +36.9 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 41.8% | 5.2% | −36.6 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 25.8% | 59.6% | +33.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 33.4% | 67.1% | +33.7 |
| Everton | Relegation | 42.2% | 9.1% | −33.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 40.0% | 8.7% | −31.3 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 3.7% | 32.3% | +28.6 |
