Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leicester City beat Liverpool with a 18.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 14 (before the first match) against those on April 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | Europa League | 62.2% | 88.7% | +26.5 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 46.0% | 70.5% | +24.5 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 31.9% | 54.5% | +22.5 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 32.9% | 11.1% | −21.8 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 22.7% | 2.4% | −20.4 |
| Derby County | Europa League | 22.0% | 3.5% | −18.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 73.1% | 91.3% | +18.2 |
| Everton | Relegation | 25.1% | 7.6% | −17.5 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 25.9% | 8.7% | −17.2 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 70.5% | 86.3% | +15.9 |
