Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Chelsea with a 18.1% chance and Nottingham beat Wimbledon with a 14.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 10 (before the first match) against those on March 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champion | 24.3% | 8.0% | −16.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 88.7% | 73.1% | −15.6 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 10.9% | 25.9% | +15.0 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 55.4% | 68.2% | +12.8 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 20.4% | 32.9% | +12.5 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 9.2% | 20.8% | +11.6 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 34.1% | 22.7% | −11.4 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 41.8% | 31.9% | −9.9 |
| Derby County | Europa League | 12.9% | 22.0% | +9.1 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 62.7% | 70.5% | +7.8 |
