Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sheffield Wednesday beat Tottenham with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 17 (before the first match) against those on August 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 48.9% | 27.7% | −21.2 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Relegation | 32.9% | 16.8% | −16.1 |
| Tottenham | Relegation | 28.2% | 41.8% | +13.6 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 42.8% | 54.4% | +11.6 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 43.1% | 32.0% | −11.1 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 15.8% | 26.9% | +11.1 |
| Everton | Relegation | 31.7% | 42.2% | +10.5 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 17.3% | 25.8% | +8.4 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 12.3% | 19.7% | +7.3 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 23.1% | 28.9% | +5.8 |
