Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Blackburn Rovers with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 3 (before the first match) against those on May 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 38.1% | 91.9% | +53.9 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 59.2% | 100% | +40.8 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 14.5% | 53.9% | +39.4 |
| Everton | Relegation | 34.2% | 0.4% | −33.8 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 24.5% | 51.2% | +26.7 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 29.1% | 4.5% | −24.6 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 25.6% | 2.2% | −23.4 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 23.0% | 0.4% | −22.6 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 17.1% | 0% | −17.1 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 47.2% | 64.1% | +16.9 |
