Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Coventry City beat Aston Villa with a 16.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 21 (before the first match) against those on March 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | Relegation | 49.6% | 24.9% | −24.7 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 16.8% | 6.0% | −10.8 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 49.3% | 59.2% | +9.9 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 17.5% | 26.0% | +8.5 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 8.1% | 14.8% | +6.8 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 21.6% | 15.1% | −6.5 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 54.5% | 48.1% | −6.4 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 83.9% | 90.1% | +6.2 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 11.6% | 17.6% | +6.0 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 33.2% | 39.0% | +5.8 |
