Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wimbledon beat Sheffield Wednesday with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 8 (before the first match) against those on May 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United | Europa League | 25.9% | 100% | +74.2 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 8.5% | 51.2% | +42.7 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 43.9% | 4.5% | −39.4 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 18.3% | 53.9% | +35.6 |
| Everton | Relegation | 35.7% | 0.4% | −35.2 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 32.2% | 0% | −32.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 72.0% | 100% | +28.0 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 65.0% | 91.9% | +26.9 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 5.8% | 28.8% | +23.0 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 22.8% | 0% | −22.8 |
