Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Aston Villa with a 18.3% chance, Newcastle beat Leeds United with a 16.7% chance, and Sheffield Wednesday beat Leicester City with a 23.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 2 (before the first match) against those on February 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 53.7% | 32.2% | −21.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 54.4% | 72.0% | +17.6 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 33.6% | 47.1% | +13.5 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 32.9% | 43.9% | +11.0 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 75.7% | 65.0% | −10.7 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 32.3% | 22.8% | −9.5 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 56.0% | 65.1% | +9.1 |
| Aston Villa | Champion | 13.1% | 4.4% | −8.7 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 16.9% | 8.5% | −8.4 |
| Everton | Relegation | 27.5% | 35.7% | +8.2 |
