Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Nottingham beat Everton with a 18.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 18 (before the first match) against those on January 31 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | Relegation | 70.4% | 55.3% | −15.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 40.9% | 55.2% | +14.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 27.0% | 40.5% | +13.5 |
| Everton | Relegation | 14.9% | 27.2% | +12.3 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 71.1% | 81.8% | +10.8 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 63.7% | 53.5% | −10.1 |
| Charlton Athletic | Relegation | 66.0% | 75.2% | +9.2 |
| Aston Villa | Champion | 22.1% | 13.5% | −8.6 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 30.6% | 22.4% | −8.2 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 22.6% | 14.5% | −8.0 |
