Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sheffield Wednesday beat West Ham with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 10 (before the first match) against those on January 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | Europa League | 15.3% | 8.2% | −7.1 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 27.5% | 34.1% | +6.7 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 64.7% | 71.1% | +6.4 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Relegation | 9.2% | 2.9% | −6.3 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 65.7% | 70.4% | +4.8 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 29.1% | 33.5% | +4.4 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 6.3% | 1.9% | −4.4 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 7.3% | 3.3% | −3.9 |
| Middlesbrough | Europa League | 8.1% | 4.2% | −3.9 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 31.1% | 34.7% | +3.7 |
