Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leeds United beat Liverpool with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 8 (before the first match) against those on November 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | Relegation | 28.7% | 16.8% | −11.9 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 63.3% | 73.4% | +10.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 61.0% | 51.7% | −9.4 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 15.6% | 6.6% | −9.0 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 33.9% | 42.7% | +8.9 |
| Everton | Relegation | 28.8% | 37.3% | +8.5 |
| Aston Villa | Champion | 25.9% | 34.3% | +8.4 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 21.4% | 13.5% | −7.9 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 63.9% | 70.5% | +6.6 |
| Leeds United | Europa League | 19.5% | 25.6% | +6.1 |
