Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Liverpool beat Aston Villa with a 22.8% chance and Southampton beat Blackburn Rovers with a 16.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 16 (before the first match) against those on November 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 42.7% | 57.2% | +14.5 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 70.5% | 57.3% | −13.2 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 19.2% | 31.5% | +12.3 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 73.4% | 61.4% | −12.0 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 51.7% | 40.0% | −11.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 75.8% | 64.2% | −11.6 |
| Chelsea | Champion | 10.9% | 22.4% | +11.5 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 19.6% | 29.7% | +10.1 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Relegation | 25.7% | 16.5% | −9.2 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 65.0% | 73.8% | +8.9 |
