Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Coventry City beat Blackburn Rovers with a 18.4% chance and Derby County beat Liverpool with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 2 (before the first match) against those on November 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | Relegation | 41.5% | 28.7% | −12.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 24.9% | 15.6% | −9.2 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 55.4% | 63.3% | +7.9 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 42.2% | 34.8% | −7.4 |
| Aston Villa | Champion | 19.6% | 25.9% | +6.3 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 59.1% | 65.3% | +6.2 |
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 14.5% | 8.4% | −6.1 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 11.3% | 17.0% | +5.7 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 78.7% | 73.0% | −5.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 56.1% | 61.0% | +5.0 |
