Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sunderland beat Middlesbrough with a 20.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 16 (before the first match) against those on April 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | Relegation | 61.6% | 24.8% | −36.8 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 37.8% | 64.2% | +26.4 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 75.2% | 97.8% | +22.6 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 50.6% | 33.8% | −16.8 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 25.3% | 9.0% | −16.3 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 48.9% | 64.8% | +15.9 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 14.8% | 0.3% | −14.4 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 44.9% | 54.4% | +9.5 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 3.8% | 12.0% | +8.2 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 28.3% | 20.2% | −8.1 |
