Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 23 (before the first match) against those on April 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | Relegation | 72.5% | 28.3% | −44.2 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 76.1% | 44.9% | −31.2 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 64.1% | 92.4% | +28.3 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 39.6% | 61.6% | +22.0 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 11.9% | 32.0% | +20.1 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 23.8% | 37.8% | +14.0 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 42.1% | 52.5% | +10.4 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 9.6% | <0.1% | −9.5 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 17.8% | 25.3% | +7.5 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 11.3% | 3.8% | −7.5 |
