Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Liverpool beat Arsenal with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 19 (before the first match) against those on March 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | Champions League | 43.2% | 15.9% | −27.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 52.8% | 78.0% | +25.2 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 51.0% | 73.8% | +22.8 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 42.3% | 21.0% | −21.3 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 50.3% | 71.3% | +21.0 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 27.7% | 11.6% | −16.1 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 22.9% | 8.4% | −14.5 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 13.0% | 1.5% | −11.5 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 7.9% | 18.8% | +10.9 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 37.7% | 27.5% | −10.2 |
