Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wimbledon beat Arsenal with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 19 (before the first match) against those on February 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | Relegation | 52.2% | 38.1% | −14.1 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 20.9% | 33.7% | +12.8 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 24.2% | 11.4% | −12.8 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 47.5% | 58.5% | +11.0 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 21.2% | 10.3% | −10.9 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 62.3% | 72.1% | +9.9 |
| Wimbledon | Europa League | 20.6% | 28.9% | +8.3 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 49.6% | 42.3% | −7.4 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 12.5% | 18.8% | +6.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 64.3% | 58.3% | −6.0 |
