Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wimbledon beat Everton with a 18.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 12 (before the first match) against those on March 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | Relegation | 28.9% | 60.8% | +31.9 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 41.4% | 61.9% | +20.5 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 41.4% | 61.9% | +20.5 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 55.3% | 38.0% | −17.3 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 70.6% | 84.4% | +13.9 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 52.5% | 65.2% | +12.7 |
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 20.9% | 9.3% | −11.6 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 44.4% | 33.1% | −11.3 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 17.0% | 6.8% | −10.2 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 44.2% | 34.1% | −10.1 |
