Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bolton Wanderers beat Coventry City with a 17.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 13 (before the first match) against those on March 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Relegation | 45.9% | 23.7% | −22.2 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 28.6% | 47.5% | +18.9 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 53.6% | 65.8% | +12.2 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 43.6% | 31.8% | −11.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 43.6% | 31.8% | −11.8 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 21.1% | 9.4% | −11.7 |
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 18.2% | 29.4% | +11.2 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 47.6% | 58.1% | +10.4 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 47.6% | 58.1% | +10.4 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 69.9% | 79.4% | +9.5 |
