Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Blackburn Rovers with a 20.7% chance and Middlesbrough beat Leeds United with a 18.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 19 (before the first match) against those on April 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champion | 31.8% | 82.0% | +50.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 31.8% | 82.0% | +50.1 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 66.7% | 18.0% | −48.7 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 41.7% | 82.0% | +40.3 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 58.0% | 18.0% | −39.9 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 58.0% | 18.0% | −39.9 |
| Manchester City | Relegation | 23.7% | 61.5% | +37.8 |
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 29.2% | <0.1% | −29.2 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 48.1% | 29.7% | −18.4 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 82.1% | 98.0% | +15.9 |
