Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sheffield Wednesday beat Southampton with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 6 (before the first match) against those on May 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champion | 41.6% | 84.7% | +43.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 41.6% | 84.7% | +43.1 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 56.0% | 15.3% | −40.7 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 53.1% | 84.7% | +31.6 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 44.0% | 15.3% | −28.7 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 44.0% | 15.3% | −28.7 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 72.6% | 100% | +27.4 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 78.4% | 100% | +21.7 |
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 20.0% | <0.1% | −19.9 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 32.9% | 15.4% | −17.5 |
