Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bolton Wanderers beat Leeds United with a 10.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 28 (before the first match) against those on March 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Champion | 68.5% | 45.4% | −23.1 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 68.5% | 45.4% | −23.1 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 30.5% | 52.5% | +22.0 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 22.1% | 40.8% | +18.7 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 22.1% | 40.8% | +18.7 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 71.9% | 57.0% | −14.8 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 19.0% | 9.4% | −9.6 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 8.9% | 13.5% | +4.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 8.9% | 13.5% | +4.7 |
