Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Tottenham with a 14.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 20 (before the first match) against those on September 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Relegation | 31.2% | 60.6% | +29.4 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 6.8% | 25.2% | +18.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 6.8% | 25.2% | +18.4 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champion | 21.0% | 2.7% | −18.3 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champions League | 21.0% | 2.7% | −18.3 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Europa League | 27.8% | 11.3% | −16.6 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 17.0% | 30.2% | +13.2 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 23.0% | 35.5% | +12.5 |
| Queens Park Rangers | Relegation | 6.3% | 18.7% | +12.4 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 40.6% | 28.4% | −12.2 |
