Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Aston Villa beat Manchester United with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 18 (before the first match) against those on August 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 38.7% | 22.2% | −16.5 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 26.7% | 37.4% | +10.7 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 15.1% | 6.8% | −8.3 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 15.1% | 6.8% | −8.3 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 24.4% | 17.0% | −7.5 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 14.8% | 21.7% | +6.9 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 18.7% | 23.0% | +4.2 |
| Nottingham | Champion | 12.3% | 16.6% | +4.2 |
| Nottingham | Champions League | 12.3% | 16.6% | +4.2 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 44.8% | 40.6% | −4.2 |
