Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Bolton Wanderers beat Blackburn Rovers with a 17.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 23 (before the first match) against those on August 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 41.1% | 27.3% | −13.8 |
| Bolton Wanderers | Relegation | 63.7% | 51.8% | −11.9 |
| Everton | Relegation | 30.0% | 19.7% | −10.3 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 17.2% | 25.0% | +7.7 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 17.2% | 25.0% | +7.7 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Relegation | 12.3% | 19.3% | +7.0 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 17.8% | 24.7% | +6.9 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 9.9% | 16.8% | +6.9 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 14.8% | 21.5% | +6.7 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Champion | 12.8% | 6.3% | −6.5 |
