Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Las Palmas beat Villarreal with a 11.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 2 (before the first match) against those on October 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 31.0% | 20.7% | −10.3 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 30.9% | 21.5% | −9.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 41.5% | 50.6% | +9.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 47.5% | 38.6% | −8.9 |
| Almería | Relegation | 65.7% | 73.9% | +8.1 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 23.9% | 31.4% | +7.6 |
| Girona | Champions League | 35.1% | 42.5% | +7.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 65.8% | 73.1% | +7.3 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 16.4% | 21.8% | +5.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 89.7% | 94.0% | +4.3 |
