Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 28 (before the first match) against those on October 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | Champions League | 47.2% | 35.1% | −12.1 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 41.6% | 31.0% | −10.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 37.0% | 47.5% | +10.5 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 36.8% | 47.1% | +10.3 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 34.1% | 23.9% | −10.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 33.3% | 41.5% | +8.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 83.7% | 89.7% | +6.1 |
| Girona | Champion | 9.3% | 3.9% | −5.4 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 15.7% | 20.6% | +4.8 |
| Valencia | Relegation | 10.7% | 15.1% | +4.4 |
