Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 8 (before the first match) against those on October 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 31.4% | 22.2% | −9.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 50.6% | 41.6% | −9.0 |
| Valencia | Relegation | 13.9% | 6.6% | −7.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 73.1% | 80.1% | +7.0 |
| Girona | Champions League | 42.5% | 49.3% | +6.8 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 44.0% | 38.1% | −5.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 26.6% | 32.3% | +5.8 |
| Almería | Relegation | 73.9% | 79.4% | +5.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champion | 17.2% | 22.4% | +5.2 |
| Granada | Relegation | 56.1% | 61.0% | +4.9 |
