Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 24 (before the first match) against those on September 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 50.3% | 62.0% | +11.6 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 40.1% | 31.2% | −9.0 |
| Almería | Relegation | 57.8% | 66.6% | +8.8 |
| Girona | Champions League | 39.5% | 47.2% | +7.8 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 41.3% | 34.1% | −7.2 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 13.5% | 7.5% | −6.1 |
| Las Palmas | Relegation | 35.7% | 41.6% | +5.9 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 42.1% | 36.8% | −5.3 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 28.2% | 33.3% | +5.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 78.6% | 83.7% | +5.0 |
