Round 4

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on August 28 (before the first match) against those on December 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
GironaChampions League19.7%89.7%+70.0
AlmeríaRelegation50.8%94.6%+43.8
GranadaRelegation46.0%89.6%+43.6
Las PalmasRelegation39.0%1.2%−37.8
Real MadridChampion38.4%68.8%+30.4
OsasunaChampions League26.0%0.1%−25.9
GetafeRelegation25.6%0.4%−25.1
Real BetisChampions League30.1%7.1%−23.0
VillarrealChampions League21.9%<0.1%−21.8
BarcelonaChampion22.9%4.8%−18.1
Home 27.2%
Draw 28.1%
Away 44.7%
Home 31.8%
Draw 30.7%
Away 37.5%
Home 76.1%
Draw 18.2%
Away 5.7%
Home 75.8%
Draw 18.3%
Away 5.9%
Home 38.3%
Draw 30.4%
Away 31.3%
Home 58.7%
Draw 23.5%
Away 17.8%
Home 66.6%
Draw 21.0%
Away 12.4%
Home 37.4%
Draw 30.7%
Away 31.9%
Home 32.3%
Draw 30.9%
Away 36.8%
Home 64.5%
Draw 21.7%
Away 13.9%