Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Granada beat Mallorca with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 21 (before the first match) against those on August 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 43.2% | 56.8% | +13.6 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 42.7% | 30.1% | −12.6 |
| Granada | Relegation | 56.7% | 46.0% | −10.6 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 31.1% | 21.9% | −9.2 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 17.3% | 25.6% | +8.3 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Champions League | 19.7% | 11.6% | −8.0 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 62.6% | 70.2% | +7.6 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 32.5% | 25.6% | −6.9 |
| Osasuna | Champions League | 19.8% | 26.0% | +6.2 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 30.1% | 36.1% | +6.0 |
