Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Valencia beat Osasuna with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 4 (before the first match) against those on April 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 48.9% | 66.7% | +17.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 57.3% | 74.6% | +17.3 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 43.4% | 27.6% | −15.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 38.6% | 24.7% | −13.9 |
| Valencia | Conference League | 5.4% | 14.0% | +8.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 73.9% | 66.4% | −7.5 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 7.6% | 13.0% | +5.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 10.3% | 5.5% | −4.8 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 73.7% | 77.4% | +3.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Conference League | 4.0% | 0.7% | −3.3 |
