Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo Alavés beat Atlético Madrid with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 15 (before the first match) against those on April 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis | Conference League | 13.0% | 25.3% | +12.3 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 77.4% | 89.3% | +11.9 |
| Valencia | Conference League | 14.0% | 5.6% | −8.4 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 13.0% | 4.7% | −8.3 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 66.4% | 61.2% | −5.2 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 4.3% | 0.6% | −3.7 |
