Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 17 (before the first match) against those on April 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 63.0% | 44.4% | −18.6 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 40.0% | 56.4% | +16.4 |
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 33.5% | 48.4% | +14.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 53.8% | 39.8% | −14.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 64.0% | 76.2% | +12.2 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 15.5% | 7.7% | −7.8 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 9.0% | 14.1% | +5.1 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 77.7% | 72.9% | −4.9 |
| Valencia | Conference League | 7.3% | 3.6% | −3.8 |
| Athletic Club | Conference League | 3.3% | 7.1% | +3.7 |
