Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Athletic Club beat Osasuna with a 19.2% chance and Deportivo Alavés beat Sevilla with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 14 (before the first match) against those on August 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | Champions League | 34.1% | 19.8% | −14.2 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 43.7% | 30.1% | −13.6 |
| Granada | Relegation | 48.2% | 56.7% | +8.5 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 24.7% | 32.5% | +7.8 |
| Almería | Relegation | 44.8% | 52.3% | +7.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 28.7% | 36.0% | +7.2 |
| Valencia | Relegation | 20.2% | 13.3% | −7.0 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Champions League | 12.7% | 19.7% | +6.9 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 55.7% | 62.6% | +6.9 |
| Girona | Champions League | 7.6% | 14.3% | +6.7 |
