Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 4 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 26 (before the first match) against those on March 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | Europa League | 46.8% | 59.6% | +12.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 67.9% | 79.0% | +11.0 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 37.3% | 27.8% | −9.5 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 26.1% | 19.4% | −6.7 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 73.2% | 79.5% | +6.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 17.5% | 13.1% | −4.5 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 7.2% | 3.3% | −3.9 |
| Real Betis | Conference League | 35.2% | 39.1% | +3.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Conference League | 5.1% | 1.5% | −3.5 |
| Granada | Relegation | 93.2% | 96.3% | +3.1 |
