Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Celta Vigo beat Osasuna with a 19.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on February 1 (before the first match) against those on February 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 28.0% | 16.5% | −11.5 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 37.2% | 44.2% | +7.0 |
| Sevilla | Relegation | 18.1% | 11.8% | −6.3 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 35.0% | 40.0% | +5.0 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 8.7% | 13.4% | +4.7 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 17.2% | 21.6% | +4.4 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 49.7% | 54.0% | +4.3 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 81.6% | 85.5% | +3.8 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 75.3% | 71.8% | −3.5 |
